Facebook Using Safety Check Feature for Tropical Storm Darby

Well I have heard of the Facebook “Safety Check” feature that happens on Facebook when natural disasters happen or major things like terrorist attacks.

Never in my mind did I think I would ever have it pop up on my Facebook timeline, but tonight it did!
Facebook Safety CheckI marked myself “safe” of course.  I could have marked some of my friends that I know are safe as well… but I figure I’ll let them do that so they get the opportunity to use the new feature themselves.

Civil Defense Update on Tropical Storm Darby

This is a Civil Defense message.

This is a Tropical Storm Darby update as of Saturday July 23rd 11 AM.

Darby Sat 723 1244

The flash flood warning for the Big Island has been downgraded to a flood advisory.  A flood advisory means minor, general or area flooding is occurring, imminent or highly likely in flood prone areas. The High Surf Warning for east facing shores and a Tropical Storm Warning for the entire island remains in effect for Hawaii County.

As of 11 AM today, Tropical Storm Darby is located about 60 miles south-southeast of Hilo moving to the west at 10 miles per hour. Maximum sustained winds are 45 miles per hour with higher gusts.

Rain and wind from Tropical Storm Darby are affecting the Big Island. Residents are urged to stay off the road if at all possible.

Should power be lost or access be blocked-ensure you have prescription medications, ice, water, oxygen, backup power and fuel if needed.

To keep everyone safe, all State and County park facilities and remote areas of Hawaii Volcanoes National Park are closed until further notice.

Hele-On Bus service is suspended today. Solid waste transfer stations and landfills are closed today.

Umauma Bridge on Highway 19 remains closed with a detour through Old Mamalahoa Highway.

For a list of County Emergency Shelters and the details of this message, go to hawaiicounty.gov

Monitor your local radio broadcasts for information updates.

~ Hawaii County Civil Defense

11:00 Update on Tropical Storm Darby – Heading Towards South Point

The 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron has been flying through Darby all morning, providing valuable data as to Darby’s strength and size. Maximum flight level winds near 50 kt indicate that Darby has weakened slightly since their visit last night, and the initial intensity for this advisory has been reduced to 40 kt.

Click to enlarge

Click to enlarge

The initial motion is estimated to be 280/09 kt, with the poorly-defined center of Darby located on the north side of the deep convection. Track guidance is fairly well clustered this time around, and continues to indicate that the center of Darby will move over the Big Island later today as it moves toward the west.

Darby is expected to move into a weakness in the mid-level ridge to its north over the next day or so, due to a deep-layer low centered well to the north of the Hawaiian Islands. This will result in a gradual turn toward the northwest, as well as a gradual increase in forward speed. The official track forecast is close to the previous and a tightly clustered guidance suite, and offers no significant changes.

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION

  • LOCATION…18.9N 154.8W
  • ABOUT 60 MI…95 KM SSE OF HILO HAWAII
  • ABOUT 260 MI…420 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
  • MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
  • PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
  • MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

  • Hawaii County
  • Maui County, including the islands of Maui, Molokai, Lanai and Kahoolawe
  • Oahu

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…

  • Kauai County, including the islands of Kauai and Niihau

Civil Defense Update on Tropical Storm Darby

This is a Tropical Storm Darby update for Saturday July 23nd at 5:30 AM.
Darby Sat 723
The National Weather Service issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Hawaii County. A High Surf Warning for east facing shores is also in effect. A Flash Flood Advisory is in effect for Hawaii County.

As of 5 AM today, Tropical Storm Darby is located about 100 miles southeast of Hilo moving to the west at 9 miles per hour. Maximum sustained winds are 50 miles per hour with higher gusts.

Rain and wind from Tropical Storm Darby are affecting the Big Island. Residents are urged to stay off the road if at all possible.

Should power be lost or access be blocked-ensure you have prescription medications, ice, water, oxygen, backup power and fuel if needed.

To keep everyone safe, all State and County park facilities and remote areas of Hawaii Volcanoes National Park are closed until further notice.

Hele-On Bus service is suspended today. Solid waste transfer stations and landfills are closed today.

Umauma Bridge on Highway 19 closed with a detour through Old Mamalahoa Highway.

For a list of County Emergency Shelters and the details of this message, go to hawaiicounty.gov.

Monitor your local radio broadcasts for information updates.

Thank you for listening, this is your Hawaii County Civil Defense.

National Weather Service Reports Darby is Here – Not Where I live!

NOTE: I personally can’t see anything going on at this time on the Big Island:

Deep convection associated with Darby has increased once again this morning, with the bulk of this activity now across the system’s southeast semicircle. Outflow remains best within the northeast quadrant, but is restricted throughout the south semicircle, thanks to continued 7 to 10 kt southwest shear.

darby 723 5am

Low cloud swirls east of the LLCC add confidence to the initial position based heavily on satellite fixes. However, Darby continues to defy predictions to gain latitude.

Given the continued messy satellite presentation and the lack of aircraft data for this package, it’s possible that this system is a tenth of a degree or two farther south.

The next forecast package may benefit from land-based weather radar position estimates. Initial intensity is decreased to 45 kt as a compromise between continued 35 kt objective Dvorak satellite intensity estimates and earlier SFMR intensity from reconnaissance aircraft. The next aircraft reconnaissance mission will be later this morning.

Full report here: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tcpages/archive/?prod=TCDCP3.EP052016.048.201607231459

National Weather Service 11pm Tropical Storm Darby Update

Darby’s satellite presentation continues to be messy, with deep convection now on the decline and beginning to wrap around the south and southwest quadrants. Cloud tops have warmed over the past six hours and the best outflow continues to be toward the northeast, consistent with southwesterly shear near 10 kt depicted by SHIPS.

Darby 722 11pm

The 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron’s WC-130J aircraft did a fine job this evening finding the center of this system, so we are confident we know where Darby is and how it is moving. Based on aircraft SFMR data from the first pass through the center, we will keep an initial intensity of 50 kt for this advisory.

Like before, this is higher than the objective Dvorak satellite intensity estimates from the three satellite analysis centers (HFO, JTWC and SAB). These range from 30 kt to 45 kt. Interestingly, an 0630 UTC ASCAT pass only found 35 kt within the northeast quadrant. The next aircraft reconnaissance mission into Darby will be Saturday morning.

Full report here: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tcpages/archive/?prod=TCDCP3.EP052016.047.201607230856

Hawaii Governor Signs Emergency Proclamation for Tropical Storm Darby

Gov. David Ige signed a pre-landfall emergency proclamation as the state prepares for Tropical Storm Darby. The proclamation authorizes the expenditure of state monies for quick, easy and efficient relief of disaster-related damages, losses and suffering resulting from the storm.

Click to read full proclamation and what it covers.

Click to read full proclamation and what it covers.

“Our top priority is to protect the health, safety and welfare of Hawai‘i’s residents and visitors. I urge residents and businesses to follow emergency instructions, prepare for the storm and take steps to protect your families, employees and property. The state is standing by to assist the counties — particularly Hawai‘i and Maui counties — which are expected to be the first to feel the impact of Tropical Storm Darby,” said Gov. Ige.

The disaster emergency relief period begins on July 22 and continues through July 29, 2016.

Hawaii State Closes Areas for Arrival of Tropical Storm Darby

The Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR) is closing state forest and park areas on the islands of Hawaii and Maui, in anticipation of the effects of tropical storm Darby this weekend.

Darby Satellite 722DLNR is asking for the public’s cooperation with this announcement of area closures as the storm approaches. Additional closures for Oahu and Kauai may follow over the weekend, and updates will be provided to news media and on the department’s website.

People are advised to avoid forested and coastal areas due to potential for rising streams, flash flooding, falling trees or high surf as well as ocean water surging and sweeping across beaches and rocky coastal benches and lava flows.  High surf may create the potential for impacts to coastal properties and infrastructure, including roadways.  Powerful longshore and rip currents will be present at most beaches.

DLNR areas closing on Friday, July 22:

HAWAII ISLAND

Division of Forestry and Wildlife (DOFAW) will close by 3 p.m. today all forest reserves, wildlife sanctuaries, natural area reserves, Na Ala Hele hiking trails, forest campgrounds and game management areas, includingKeanakolu cabins, Ainapo hiking trail, Muliwai trail and Waimanu valley campground until further notice.  Camping permits for this weekend are cancelled until further notice. Saturday’s planned cattle hunt will be cancelled.

Division of State Parks is closing its park campgrounds, pavilions and cabins today. All Big Island parks will remain closed on Saturday and will not re-open until conditions warrant.

Persons holding camping and cabin permits for this weekend were notified by staff, and offered a refund or an alternate date.  An email blast to Kealakekua Bay kayak permit holders was issued to inform them of the approaching storm.

Those with reservations continuing on Monday, should check with the Hawaii parks office on Monday morning.

MAUI COUNTY 

Division of Forestry and Wildlife will close by 3 p.m. today all of its managed lands, including forest reserves, wildlife sanctuaries, natural area reserves, Na Ala Hele hiking trails, game management areas; this closure also affects Polipoli State Park (persons with camping permits are being notified).

Division of State Parks –  Parks will remain open Friday.  They will be closed on Saturday and remain closed until conditions warrant re-opening.

OAHU

Forestry and Wildlife – Oahu forest areas and trails will remain open on Friday, and on Saturday also, unless weather conditions warrant closing.

State Parks – Oahu parks will remain open on Friday, and on Saturday also, unless weather conditions warrant closing. Due to storm staffing the gates to Makua beach will not be opened today and will remain closed for the weekend. Organizers of a 5-K run at Sand Island State Recreation Area scheduled for Sunday will be notified if the park will be closed.

KAUAI

Forestry and Wildlife — Kauai forest areas and trails will remain open on Friday, and on Saturday also, unless weather conditions warrant closing.

State Parks (and Kalalau trail) – No changes at this time. Storm conditions will be monitored and closures will be announced as required.

DLNR’s Division of Boating and Ocean Recreation (DOBOR) does not plan to close any state small boat harbors but is advising boaters to monitor VHF radio for Coast Guard information on port closures and other safety advisories. Large breaking waves and strong currents may impact harbor entrances and channels causing challenging boat handling.  The Coast Guard reminds recreational boaters to secure boats and boating equipment. Owners of large boats are urged to move their vessels to protected marinas where they are less likely to break free of their moorings or be otherwise damaged. It may be advisable for smaller boats to be pulled from the water and stored in a location not prone to high winds or flooding. Regardless of location, all loose items aboard vessels need to be secured or removed.

Tropical storm Darby is an evolving storm system whose track and intensity may be affected by various weather factors. People should heed weather reports and be ready in event of emergency situations, including power or water outages and flooded or blocked roads.

DLNR also urges people to follow instructions of the Hawaii Emergency Management Agency (HEMA) and County Civil Defense agencies to prepare for arrival of tropical storm Darby, with forecasts of heavy rain, lightning strikes, flooding, strong winds, large surf and coastal surge in Hawaii as early as Friday. A high surf advisory was in effect for Maui and Hawaii island from 6 p.m. Thursday evening to 6 a.m. Friday. A high surf warning will be in effect for east-facing shores of Maui and Hawaii island from 6 a.m. Friday to 6 a.m. Sunday.

Visitors to Hawaii should heed all warnings from lifeguards and public health and safety officials. Although weather conditions may appear favorable, rip tides and high surf often impact beaches far in advance of the actual storm. Even the best swimmers can fall victim to strong storm-generated waves and currents. Swimmers are urged to stay clear of beaches and out of the water until local officials say the water is safe. Near shore waters may become contaminated due to runoff up to several days following a storm.

Civil Defense Update on Tropical Storm Darby – County Announces Closures

This is a Tropical Storm Darby update for Friday July 22nd at 6:00 PM.

Darby 722 633

The National Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Hawaii County. A tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected in Hawaii County within 36 hours. A high surf warning for east facing shores is also in effect.

As of 5 PM today, Tropical Storm Darby is located about 205 miles east-southeast of Hilo moving to the west at 12 miles per hour.  Maximum sustained winds are 60 miles per hour with higher gusts.

The public is advised to be storm ready. Heavy rains are expected to begin affecting the Big Island tonight. Residents are urged to complete storm preparations before nightfall, and stay off the road if at all possible.

In anticipation of possible damage to public and private property, an emergency proclamation was signed by Mayor Kenoi at noon today.

Should power be lost or access be blocked – ensure you have prescription medications, ice, water, oxygen, backup power and fuel if needed.

To keep everyone safe as Tropical Storm Darby approaches, all camping and pavilion reservations at County and State parks have been cancelled. Lava viewing and swimming pools are closed through Sunday. All State and County park facilities and remote areas of Hawai‘i Volcanoes National Park are closed until further notice.

Hele-On Bus service will be suspended Saturday until further notice. Resumption of service will depend on road and weather conditions. Solid Waste Transfer Stations and Landfills will also be closed Saturday.

Umauma Bridge on Highway 19 will be closed starting at midnight with a detour through Old Mamalahoa Highway.

If possible and safe, shelter in place or with family and friends. Otherwise, the following pet-friendly emergency shelters are open: Waiakea High, Kalanianaole Elementary, Keaau High, Pahoa High, Honokaa High and Intermediate, Kealakehe High, Konawaena High and Ka’u High. Other shelters that are not able to accommodate pets are open at Hilo High, Laupahoehoe Community Charter School, Mountain View Elementary, Waikoloa Elementary, and Kohala High and Elementary. Bring your own bedding, food, water, medicines and any personal items you may need.

Monitor your local radio broadcasts for information updates and go to hawaiicounty.gov for the details of this message.

~Hawaii County Civil Defense.

Tropical Storm Darby Update: Tropical Storm Strength Through the Weekend

High clouds have been streaming toward the northeast which indicates the cyclone is beginning to feel an approaching upper level trough. One of the later passes through Darby by the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron’s WC-130J helped confirm the center position of the system toward the end of the morning mission though the aircraft had to fly lower to find it. Based on the morning recon mission and the maintenance of deep convection, the initial intensity has been held at 50 kt. Note that this is higher than the subjective Dvorak estimates of 45 kt from PHFO and SAB, and 30 kt from JTWC. The next aircraft mission into Darby is scheduled for this evening.

Click to enlarge

Click to enlarge

Darby is estimated to be moving at 280/11 kt to the south of a ridge. This ridge is forecast to weaken due to a low pressure system digging southward to the north of cyclone. This weakness is expected to decrease Darby’s forward motion over the next day, and increase the amount of vertical shear affecting the system this weekend.

The trusted dynamical models have remained largely consistent today, bringing Darby over the Big Island on Saturday. Thus, the current forecast has been nudged southward closer to the dynamical consensus with a landfall on the Big Island, followed by a path over Maui County and near Oahu. The latter part of this path assumes that Darby survives its impact on the Big Island which is not a certainty.

ProbabilityThe intensity forecast rationale remains the same since the last package. The main factors affecting the intensity forecast include marginal sea surface temperatures, the amount and timing of vertical wind shear, and the effects of any potential interactions with the Hawaiian Islands.

Sea surface temperatures will remain marginal near 26.5C over the next couple of days but vertical shear is expected to increase as the previously mentioned upper level trough digs farther south. This shear increase is not expected to become strong until later this weekend.

The forecast calls for only slow weakening with Darby maintaining tropical storm strength through the weekend. This is consistent with the previous package but slightly lower than the intensity consensus. Interactions with the Big Island may cause significant disruptions to Darby so the intensity forecast confidence is not high at this time.

Coast Guard Urges Public in Hawaii to Prepare for Heavy Weather Ahead of Darby

The Coast Guard is urging the public to prepare for the onset of heavy weather expected to impact the Hawaiian Islands, Friday.

boaters manual

Tropical Storm Darby is expected to generate sustained winds of 60 mph, storm surge and surf up to 20 feet along east-facing shores throughout the Main Hawaiian Islands.

Mariners and beachgoers should monitor the progress and strength of the storm through newspapers, the internet and local television, radio stations and official accounts on social media. Boaters can monitor the progress of the storm on VHF channel 16. Small craft advisories and warnings are also broadcast on VHF channel 16.

The Coast Guard is working closely with local and state first responder agencies. Once the storm begins to impact the islands, emergency responders may not be able to assist those in danger. The public is urged to heed all evacuation orders. Mariners should seek safe harbor and shelter.

Additionally, mariners should secure their boats and boating equipment. Owners of large boats are urged to move their vessels to protected marinas where they will be less likely to break free of their moorings or to be otherwise damaged. Smaller boats should be pulled from the water and stored in a place that is not prone to flooding and is protected for high winds. Regardless of location, all loose items aboard vessels should be secured or removed.

Visitors to Hawaii should heed all warnings from lifeguards and public health and safety officials. Although weather conditions may appear favorable, rip tides and high surf may impact beaches far in advance of the actual storm. Even the best swimmers can fall victim to strong storm-generated waves and currents. Swimmers are urged to stay clear of beaches until local officials say the water is safe. Near-shore waters may become contaminated due to runoff up to several days following a storm.

A PDF version of the Hawai’i Boater’s Hurricane and Tsunami Safety Manual can be found at the following link: http://seagrant.noaa.gov/SeaGrantSearch/TabId/526/ArtMID/3568/ArticleID/354/Hawai%e2%80%98i-Boater%e2%80%99s-Hurricane-and-Tsunami-Safety-Manual.aspx.

For more information on hurricane preparedness, visit the National Hurricane Center’s Web page at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/.

Mayor Kenoi Proclaims Emergency in Hawaiʻi County

Mayor Billy Kenoi today signed an emergency proclamation in anticipation of the arrival of Tropical Storm Darby in Hawaiʻi. Tropical Storm Darby is forecast to impact Hawaiʻi Island starting today and running through late Sunday.
Mayor Kenoi at Legislature
The Mayor’s proclamation allows easier access to county emergency resources, along with the suspension of certain laws as needed for emergency purposes.

“We want to make sure we are doing everything possible to protect the public,” said Mayor Kenoi. “This proclamation improves the county’s ability to respond quickly to any potential impacts from the impending storm.”

The disaster emergency relief period for the proclamation began today at noon and will continue for 60 days.

The latest Hawaiʻi County Civil Defense message can be found at HawaiiCounty.gov. Recommended preparedness actions may be found on the Hawaiʻi Emergency Management Agency website at scd.hawaii.gov. Residents are also encouraged to enroll in local notification systems and monitor local radio and television broadcasts.

Jimmy Yagi Summer Hoops Camp Moving to UHH Gym Due to Tropical Storm Darby

The Hawai‘i County Department of Parks and Recreation will move next week’s Jimmy Yagi Summer Hoops Camp to the University of Hawai‘i at Hilo Gymnasium.

Yagi

All children participating in the camp should report to the UHH Gym, located at 200 West Kāwili Street in Hilo, at 8 a.m. Tuesday, July 26, for registration and the opening day of the camp.

The new venue will replace the Afook-Chinen Civic Auditorium, which has been reserved for another event that must be postponed to protect attendees from the anticipated impacts of Tropical Storm Darby.

The Department of Parks and Recreation thanks the University of Hawai‘i at Hilo for allowing its gymnasium to be used for the Jimmy Yagi Summer Hoops Camp. The department also apologizes for any inconvenience the venue change may cause and thanks camp participants and their families for their understanding.

For more information, please contact Jason Armstrong, Public Information Officer, at 961-8311 or jarmstrong@hawaiicounty.gov.

Hawaii Island Humane Society Storm Tips for Pet Owners

With the onset of a Darby Tropical Storm Warning across the Island of Hawaii, the Hawaii Island Humane Society has a few tips to help keep animals safe during and after the storm:

  • Bring pets inside.
  • Animals have instincts about severe weather changes and may isolate themselves if they are afraid. Bringing them inside early can stop them from running away. Never leave a pet tied up during a storm.
  • Make sure your pet is wearing a collar and ID tag.
  • Take advantage of a special HIHS 50% discount today only and microchip your pet for just $10.
  • Separate dogs and cats. Even if your dogs and cats normally get along, the anxiety of an emergency situation can cause pets to act irrationally.
  • If you find a stray pet during the storm, please provide it shelter and then drop it off when weather conditions clear at one of three islandwide Hawaii Island Humane Society shelters in Keaau, Waimea and Kona.

HIHS encourages all pet owners to be safe and well prepared. If you are advised to evacuate or do not trust the stability of your home, please consider your pet’s safety. Here is a list of Emergency Pet Friendly Shelters due to open at 4:00 p.m. today on our island. If you evacuate, take your pets!

  •  Honokaa High & Intermediate
  • Kalanianaole Elementary
  • Kau High
  • Keaau High
  • Kealakehe High
  • Konawaena High
  • Pahoa High
  • Waiakea High

Come prepared with these items: Crate, Leash, Food, Water, Bowls, Towel, Litter and litter box, Identification, Medication (if applicable)

These shelters are for safety only and will not have the comforts of home. Pet owners need to stay with their pet and provide the necessary care.

We are also seeking volunteers to help us staff these emergency shelters. If you are a pet owner who is evacuating to these shelters and are willing to help, please see the staff member present.

After the Storm

Walk pets on a leash until they become re-oriented to their home. After a disaster, animals can become aggressive or defensive – monitor their behavior.

darby 722 11am

Civil Defense List of “Pet Friendly” Evacuation Shelters

Hawaii County Civil Defense warning:

If possible, please shelter in place or with friends and family. If you need to evacuate, here is a list of pet friendly shelters available.

You will need to bring bedding, food, water and any other items you may need. Shelters open at 4 p.m. today

Pet friendly:

  • Waiakea High
  • Kalanianaole Elementary
  • Keaau High
  • Pahoa High
  • Honokaa High and Intermediate
  • Kealakehe High
  • Konawaena High
  • Ka’u High.

Unable to accommodate pets:

  • Hilo High
  • Laupahoehoe Community Charter School
  • Mountain View Elementary
  • Waikoloa
  • Kohala High and Elementary

darby 722 11am

Civil Defense Warning – NWS Issues Tropical Storm WARNING for Hawaii County

This is a Tropical Storm Darby update for Friday July 22nd at 10:00 AM.

The National Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Hawaii County.  A tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected in Hawaii County within 36 hours.  A high surf warning for east facing shores is also in effect.

darby 722 11am

As of this morning, Tropical Storm Darby is located about 390 miles east of Hilo moving to the west at 12 miles per hour.  Maximum sustained winds are 60 miles per hour with higher gusts.

The public is advised to be storm ready.  Damaging surf, rain, wind, flooding, rock and mud slides are expected to begin affecting the Big Island later today.  Residents are urged to complete storm preparations before nightfall.

Should power be lost or access be blocked – ensure you have prescription medications, ice, water, oxygen, backup power and fuel if needed.

To keep visitors and employees safe as Tropical Storm Darby approaches, all camping and pavilion reservations at County and State parks have been cancelled today through Sunday. All backcountry areas and certain roads in Hawai‘i Volcanoes National Park, are closed effective 5 p.m. today. County lava viewing and swimming pools are closed effective noon today. Beginning Saturday, all State and County park facilities are closed until further notice.

If possible and safe, shelter in place or with family and friends.  However, the following pet friendly emergency shelters open today at 4 pm: Waiakea High, Kalanianaole Elementary, Keaau High, Pahoa High, Honokaa High and Intermediate, Kealakehe High, Konawaena High and Ka’u High. Requirements for pets that need shelter are listed at hawaiicounty.gov. Bring bedding, food, water and any personal items you may need. Hilo High, Laupahoehoe Community Charter School, Mountain View Elementary, Waikoloa, and Kohala High and Elementary open today at 4 pm but are unable to accommodate pets. Again, bring bedding, food, water and any personal items you may need.

Monitor your local radio broadcasts for information updates and go to hawaiicounty.gov for more details.

Tropical Storm Darby Update – Direct Impact Possible on Big Island and Maui

The first Air Force Reserve 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron mission into Darby found maximum SFMR winds of just over 50 knots but the initial passes had difficulty determining the location of the low level center. Based on the recon data thus far, the tropical storm force radius was expanded slightly in the northern semicircle and Darby has been held at 50 kt for this advisory package.

Click to enlarge

Click to enlarge

Darby is estimated to be moving at 270/10 kt to the south of a ridge. This ridge is forecast to weaken due to a low pressure system digging southward to the north of Darby. This is expected to decrease the forward motion over the next day, and increase the amount of vertical shear on the tropical cyclone this weekend. The trusted objective aids are consistent with this scenario but have shifted southward slightly with some solutions indicating landfall over the Big Island. As a result, the current forecast has been shifted southward a bit and is between the dynamical consensus and the previous forecast. Given current guidance trends, a direct impact on the Big Island and Maui is a distinct possibility this weekend.

Hawaii Volcanoes National Park Announces Partial Park Closures as Tropical Storm Darby Nears

To keep visitors and employees safe as Tropical Storm Darby approaches Hawai‘i Island, park officials will close all backcountry areas and certain roads in Hawai‘i Volcanoes National Park, effective 5 p.m. today, Friday, July 22.

Darby 722 5am

Park closures are as follows:

  • Kūlanaokuaiki Campground & Nāmakanipaio Cabins and Campgrounds
  • Hilina Pali Road
  • Chain of Craters Road at the Crater Rim Drive intersection
  • Lava viewing area and Coastal Ranger Station
  • Entire backcountry, including all coastal sites, Nāpau and Mauna Loa
  • Mauna Loa Road after Kīpukapuaulu
  • Kahuku

Closures will remain in effect until Tropical Storm Darby has passed and conditions are safe. Additional closures may be warranted as the storm gets closer, and any damage is assessed. Volcano House and Kīlauea Military Camp will remain open for registered guests.

“Although we aren’t closing Hawai‘i Volcanoes National Park in its entirety, we strongly encourage visitors to consider changing their plans if they were planning to visit Friday afternoon or this weekend,” said Chief Ranger John Broward.

Popular visitor areas at the summit of Kīlauea will remain open at this time, including Nāhuku (Thurston Lava Tube), Kīlauea Visitor Center and the Jaggar Museum and observation deck. Visitors can check the park website, www.nps.gov/havo, for the latest information on openings, or call (808) 985-6000.

The National Weather Service issued a Tropical Storm Warning Friday morning for Hawai‘i Island. Forecasters predict heavy rains, flash floods, high surf, and strong, damaging winds. For updates on Tropical Storm Darby, go to http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/latest_w.php?stormid=EP052016.

For Civil Defense updates for the County of Hawai‘i, go to http://www.hawaiicounty.gov/civil-defense/.

Tropical Storm Darby Continues Towards Hawaii

After decreasing through much of the night, deep convection around Darby has once again flared along the northern quadrant. Exposed low cloud bands across the southern semicircle show a reasonably well organized system, with good outflow to the northeast.

Click to enlarge

Click to enlarge

Full storm discussion here: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tcpages/archive/?prod=TCDCP3.EP052016.044.201607221447

Darby Update – Reconnaissance Squadron Will Give Better Data

Cloud tops associated with Darby have warmed significantly over the past six hours, while overall organization has decreased. Outflow remains best to the north and northeast, but has become hindered to the southeast.

Darby now

Initial reconnaissance into Darby by the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron is scheduled for Friday morning, and their data will give a much better idea as to Darby’s intensity and size.